Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin

23 de março de 2006

mar 23, 2006

Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho, Daniel Curtis Nepstad, Lisa M. Curran, Gustavo Coutinho Cerqueira, Ricardo Alexandrino Garcia, Claudia Azevedo Ramos, Eliane Voll, Alice McDonald, Paul Lefebvre, Peter Schlesinger

Expansion of the cattle and soy industries in the Amazon basin has increased deforestation rates and will soon push all-weather highways into the region’s core. In the face of this growing pressure, a comprehensive conservation strategy for the Amazon basin should protect its watersheds, the full range of species and ecosystem diversity, and the stability of regional climates. Here we report that protected areas in the Amazon basin—the central feature of prevailing conservation approaches—are an important but insufficient component of this strategy, based on policysensitive simulations of future deforestation. By 2050, current trends in agricultural expansion will eliminate a total of 40% ofAmazon forests, including at least two-thirds of the forest cover of six major watersheds and 12 ecoregions, releasing 32 6 8Pg of carbon to the atmosphere. One-quarter of the 382 mammalian species examined will losemore than 40% of the forest within their Amazon ranges. Although an expanded and enforced network of protected areas could avoid as much as one-third of this projected forest loss, conservation on private lands is also essential. Expanding market pressures for sound landmanagement and prevention of forest clearing on lands unsuitable for agriculture are critical ingredients of a strategy for comprehensive conservation.

Full article.

Baixar (sujeito à disponibilidade)

Download (subject to availability)

Veja também

See also

Soil moisture depletion under simulated drought in the Amazon: impacts on deep root uptake

Soil moisture depletion under simulated drought in the Amazon: impacts on deep root uptake

Deep root water uptake in tropical Amazonian forests has been a major discovery during the last 15 yr. However, the effects of extended droughts, which may increase with climate change, on deep soil moisture utilization remain uncertain. The current study utilized a 1999–2005 record of volumetric water content (VWC) under a throughfall exclusion experiment to calibrate a one-dimensional model of the hydrologic system to estimate VWC, and to quantify the rate of root uptake through 11.5 m of soil.